Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets)

PoliticsAug 12, 2026

Group vol

$82.2K

Liquidity

$277.3K

Outcomes

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

Hong <0.2%

0.05%

0.10c

$576

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley <0.2%

3.3%

3.20c

3.30c

$6.6K

$17.0K

Yes3.25c No96.7c

Hong 0.2–0.4%

0.05%

0.10c

$749

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 0.2–0.4%

18.5%

18c

19c

$6.1K

Yes18.5c No81.5c

Hong 0.4–0.6%

0.05%

0.10c

$716

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 0.4–0.6%

72.5%

72c

73c

$10.1K

Yes72.5c No27.5c

Order Book

Bid73c

Ask74c

Depth4,345

PriceSizeTotal

Mid73.5cSpread1c1.361%

Hong 0.6–0.8%

0.05%

0.10c

$694

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 0.6–0.8%

4.0%

3.90c

4.00c

$9.9K

Yes3.95c No96.0c

Hong 0.8–1%

0.05%

0.10c

$232

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 0.8–1%

1.8%

1.80c

1.90c

$2.5K

$10.9K

Yes1.85c No98.1c

Hong 1%+

0.05%

0.10c

$319

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 1–1.2%

1.4%

1.30c

1.40c

$7.1K

$19.5K

Yes1.35c No98.6c

Crowley 1.2–1.4%

0.05%

0.10c

$1.2K

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 1.4–1.6%

0.05%

0.10c

$1.1K

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 1.6–1.8%

0.05%

0.10c

$1.2K

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 1.8–2%

0.05%

0.10c

$1.3K

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Crowley 2%+

0.05%

0.10c

$521

Yes0.05c No99.9c

Market Terminal

Markets

Market Terminal

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets)

Order Book