Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

PoliticsDec 31, 2026

Group vol

$1.1K

Liquidity

$17.7K

Outcomes

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

Jared Kushner

68.5%

54c

80c

$126

Yes68.5c No31.5c

Order Book

Bid57c

Ask80c

Depth5,094

PriceSizeTotal

Mid68.5cSpread23c33.577%

Steve Witkoff

67.5%

53c

79c

$40.00

Yes67.5c No32.5c

Abbas Araghchi

67%

55c

79c

$40.00

Yes67c No33c

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

58.5%

56c

61c

$60.00

Yes58.5c No41.5c

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

44%

40c

48c

$40.00

Yes44c No56.0c

Kazem Gharibabadi

43.5%

40c

47c

Yes43.5c No56.4c

Ishaq Dar

43%

40c

45c

$33.84

Yes43c No56.9c

Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi

41%

37c

45c

$20.00

Yes41c No59c

Majid Takht-Ravanchi

37%

34c

40c

$20.00

Yes37c No63c

Nick Stewart

37%

33c

41c

$20.00

Yes37c No63c

Marco Rubio

34.5%

32c

37c

$40.00

Yes34.5c No65.5c

J.D. Vance

29.0%

11c

48c

$40.00

Yes28.9c No71c

Rafael Grossi

23.5%

19c

25c

$25.52

Yes23.5c No76.5c

Masoud Pezeshkian

22%

19c

25c

$40.00

Yes22c No78c

Esmail Qaani

18%

14c

22c

$27.59

Yes18c No82c

Ahmad Vahidi

13.5%

6.00c

74c

$20.00

Yes13.5c No86.5c

Donald Trump

12%

11c

13c

$59.08

Yes12c No88c

Pete Hegseth

8.5%

8.00c

13c

$327

Yes8.50c No91.5c

Mojtaba Khamenei

3.5%

3.00c

4.00c

$160

Yes3.50c No96.5c

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Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

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