Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

PoliticsNov 7, 2026

Group vol

$19.7K

Liquidity

$144.7K

Outcomes

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

National + ACT + NZF

37.5%

37c

38c

$7.6K

$3.7K

Yes37.5c No62.5c

Order Book

Bid37c

Ask38c

Depth5,972

PriceSizeTotal

Mid37.5cSpread1c2.667%

Labour + Green + Maori

23%

22c

24c

$4.6K

$1.9K

Yes23c No77c

Labour + Green

10.5%

7.50c

13.6c

$662

$1.5K

Yes10.5c No89.4c

Other

10.3%

8.50c

12.2c

$2.4K

Yes10.3c No89.6c

National + NZF

4.1%

0.40c

7.80c

$1.0K

Yes4.10c No95.8c

Labour + Maori

3.5%

0.30c

6.60c

$683

Yes3.45c No96.5c

Labour

2.6%

1.00c

4.30c

$708

Yes2.65c No97.3c

Labour + Green + NZF

2.3%

0.40c

4.10c

$865

Yes2.25c No97.7c

National + Labour

2.2%

0.30c

4.10c

$498

Yes2.20c No97.8c

National + ACT

1.1%

0.30c

2.00c

$765

Yes1.15c No98.8c

Labour + NZF

1.1%

0.10c

2.20c

$645

Yes1.15c No98.8c

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF

1.1%

0.50c

1.70c

$1.1K

Yes1.10c No98.9c

National + NZF + Maori

0.75%

0.20c

1.30c

$570

Yes0.75c No99.2c

National + Maori

0.60%

0.30c

0.90c

$641

Yes0.60c No99.4c

Labour + Maori + NZF

0.35%

0.30c

0.40c

$674

Yes0.35c No99.6c

National + ACT + Maori

0.35%

0.30c

0.40c

$4.7K

$654

Yes0.35c No99.6c

National + ACT + NZF + Maori

0.25%

0.10c

0.40c

$761

Yes0.25c No99.7c

National

0.20%

0.10c

0.30c

$4.2K

$581

Yes0.20c No99.8c

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Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

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