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When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026? | Polyliquid

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When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

WeatherSep 1, 2026

Group vol

$1.5K

Liquidity

$3.9K

Outcomes

5

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

No Atlantic hurricane will form in August 2026

71%

68c

74c

$0

$992

Order Book

Bid68c

Ask74c

Depth1,088

PriceSizeTotal

Mid71.0c·Spread6c8.451%

August 27 to August 31, 2026

20.5%

13c

28c

$0

$237

Yes20.5c No79.5c

August 22 to August 26, 2026

6.5%

6.00c

7.00c

$0

$103

Yes6.50c No93.5c

August 17 to August 21, 2026

1.4%

0.30c

2.80c

$0

$85.00

Yes1.35c No98.6c

August 13 to August 16, 2026

0.05%

--

0.10c

$0

$95.00

Yes0.05c No99.9c

No Atlantic hurricane will form in August 2026

Yes·Yes

AmountConnect wallet$

Cash$0.00

%

To win

$0.00