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What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole? | Polyliquid

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

MarketsAug 28, 2026

Group vol

$8.1K

Liquidity

$10.9K

Outcomes

20

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

81.5%

81c

82c

$0

$568

Yes81.5c No18.5c

Order Book

Bid81c

Ask82c

Depth1,454

PriceSizeTotal

Mid81.5c·Spread1c1.227%

74.5%

74c

75c

$0

$387

Yes74.5c No25.5c

Independent / Independence

73.5%

72c

75c

$0

$73.42

Yes73.5c No26.5c

CapEx / Capital Expenditure

63.5%

61c

67c

$0

$299

Yes63.5c No36.5c

59.5%

57c

62c

$0

$381

Yes59.5c No40.5c

58.0%

36c

80c

$0

$230

Bank / Asset 10+ times

55.5%

54c

57c

$0

$87.74

Yes55.5c No44.5c

-No Qualifying Event-

51.4%

5.10c

97.8c

$0

$21.16

Yes51.4c No48.6c

2008 / Financial Crisis

45.5%

45c

46c

$0

$721

Yes45.5c No54.5c

41.5%

40c

44c

$0

$205

Yes41.5c No58.5c

35%

34c

36c

$0

$1.5K

Task Force 5+ times

33.5%

1.00c

66c

$0

$82.20

Yes33.5c No66.5c

AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times

32%

1.00c

63c

$0

$165

Stable 5+ times

30.5%

29c

32c

$0

$166

Yes30.5c No69.5c

26.5%

1.00c

52c

$0

$215

Yes26.5c No73.5c

Prediction / Predictive

18%

16c

20c

$0

$699

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

15.5%

15c

16c

$0

$878

Yes15.5c No84.5c

11.5%

11c

13c

$0

$637

Yes11.5c No88.5c

7.5%

7.00c

8.00c

$0

$100

Yes7.50c No92.5c

3.5%

2.10c

5.00c

$0

$685

Yes3.55c No96.4c

Productivity

Yes·Yes

AmountConnect wallet$

Cash$0.00

%

To win

$0.00