What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

PoliticsDec 31, 2026

Group vol

$7.0K

Liquidity

$92.3K

Outcomes

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

34.5%

34c

35c

$8.0K

$2.1K

Yes35c No66c

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Bid34c

Ask35c

Depth7,978

PriceSizeTotal

Mid34.5cSpread1c2.899%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

32.5%

31c

34c

$6.9K

$118

Yes32.5c No67.5c

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

29.5%

29c

30c

$7.3K

$928

Yes30c No71c

Iran Reconstruction Funding

27%

26c

28c

$10.9K

$356

Yes28c No74c

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

25.5%

25c

26c

$10.8K

$296

Yes25.5c No74.5c

Enriched Uranium Surrender

14.0%

13c

15c

$9.7K

$3.2K

Yes14.0c No86c

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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

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