TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory

PoliticsNov 3, 2026

Group vol

$163

Liquidity

$487

Outcomes

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

Republican 0-5%

36%

2.00c

65c

Yes36c No64c

Republican 5-10%

33%

4.00c

67c

Yes33c No67c

Republican 10-15%

33.5%

4.00c

66c

Yes33.5c No66.5c

Republican 15-20%

40%

10c

69c

Yes40c No60c

Order Book

Bid10c

Ask70c

Depth154.1

PriceSizeTotal

Mid40.0cSpread60c150.000%

Republican 20-25%

36%

2.00c

68c

Yes36c No64c

Republican 25-30%

36.5%

5.00c

66c

$41.02

Yes36.5c No63.5c

Republican 30%+

35.5%

10c

61c

$41.62

Yes35.5c No64.5c

Democrat Wins

15%

10c

18c

$80.00

Yes15c No85c

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TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory

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