NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

PoliticsNov 7, 2026

Group vol

$6.1K

Liquidity

$62.9K

Outcomes

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

National 0-5%

17.5%

16c

19c

$559

Yes17.5c No82.5c

Labour 0-5%

34.5%

34c

35c

$2.8K

$521

Yes34.5c No65.5c

Order Book

Bid34c

Ask35c

Depth2,870

PriceSizeTotal

Mid34.5cSpread1c2.899%

Labour 5-10%

7.0%

6.00c

8.00c

$496

Yes7.00c No93c

National 5-10%

12.7%

5.30c

20.1c

$232

$663

Yes12.7c No87.3c

National 10%+

5.00c

8.00c

$2.9K

Yes6.00c No94c

Labour 10-15%

9.5%

8.00c

11c

$2.0K

$341

Yes9.50c No90.5c

Labour 15%+

0.35%

0.30c

0.40c

$4.5K

$443

Yes0.35c No99.6c

Another Party Wins

0.15%

0.10c

0.20c

$3.0K

$220

Yes0.15c No99.8c

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NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Order Book