Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

PoliticsApr 30, 2027

Group vol

$828

Liquidity

$331.1K

Outcomes

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

Marine Le Pen

87.5%

87c

88c

$1.5K

$5.7K

Yes87.5c No12.5c

Order Book

Bid87c

Ask88c

Depth1,650

PriceSizeTotal

Mid87.5cSpread1c1.143%

Édouard Philippe

41%

40c

42c

$534

$292

Yes41c No59c

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

39%

38c

40c

$1.0K

$270

Yes39c No61c

Jordan Bardella

12.5%

9.00c

16c

$141

Yes12.5c No87.5c

Gabriel Attal

12%

10c

14c

$877

Yes12c No88c

François Hollande

11%

10c

12c

$4.6K

$6.96

Yes11c No89c

Raphaël Glucksmann

5.00c

7.00c

$1.7K

$638

Yes6.00c No94c

Bernard Cazeneuve

4.7%

3.30c

5.80c

$251

Yes4.65c No95.3c

Dominique de Villepin

4.5%

3.00c

5.00c

$3.8K

$1.1K

Yes4.50c No95.5c

Éric Zemmour

2.90c

5.10c

$631

Yes4.00c No96c

Laurent Wauquiez

2.70c

5.40c

$1.8K

$57.67

Yes4.00c No96c

Sébastien Lecornu

3.5%

1.60c

5.40c

$1.3K

$77.50

Yes3.50c No96.5c

Mathilde Panot

3.4%

1.30c

5.30c

$2.0K

$829

Yes3.35c No96.6c

Bruno Retailleau

2.60c

3.40c

$3.7K

$51.70

Yes3.00c No97c

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2.8%

1.60c

4.20c

$827

$2.0K

Yes2.80c No97.2c

David Lisnard

2.8%

2.50c

3.00c

$2.3K

Yes2.75c No97.2c

Élisabeth Borne

2.5%

2.00c

2.90c

$3.2K

Yes2.45c No97.5c

Olivier Faure

2.5%

1.20c

3.80c

$2.1K

$129

Yes2.45c No97.5c

Sarah Knafo

2.5%

1.20c

3.70c

$727

$55.29

Yes2.45c No97.5c

François Ruffin

2.4%

1.50c

3.30c

$369

$4.7K

Yes2.40c No97.6c

François Bayrou

2.4%

1.30c

3.70c

$621

$11.59

Yes2.40c No97.6c

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

2.3%

1.40c

3.20c

$424

$602

Yes2.29c No97.7c

Michel Barnier

2.3%

1.10c

3.70c

$576

$978

Yes2.25c No97.7c

Fabien Roussel

2.1%

1.00c

3.30c

$1.1K

Yes2.15c No97.8c

Manuel Bompard

2.1%

1.20c

3.00c

$485

$1.8K

Yes2.10c No97.8c

François Asselineau

1.8%

1.60c

1.90c

$1.7K

Yes1.75c No98.2c

Gérald Darmanin

1.3%

1.20c

1.30c

$10.9K

$4.70

Yes1.25c No98.7c

Ségolène Royal

1.2%

0.50c

1.90c

$2.9K

Yes1.20c No98.8c

Juan Branco

1.1%

0.20c

2.00c

$29.9K

$1.1K

Yes1.15c No98.8c

Xavier Bertrand

1.1%

0.30c

1.80c

$21.4K

$1.5K

Yes1.05c No98.9c

Carole Delga

0.90c

1.10c

$863

$1.1K

Yes1.00c No99c

Jean Castex

0.85%

0.50c

1.20c

$1.2K

Yes0.85c No99.1c

Valérie Pécresse

0.80%

0.30c

1.30c

$23.5K

$1.3K

Yes0.80c No99.2c

Clémentine Autain

0.75%

0.70c

0.80c

$11.3K

$1.5K

Yes0.75c No99.2c

Marine Tondelier

0.70%

0.20c

1.20c

$1.5K

$5.67

Yes0.70c No99.3c

Clémence Guetté

0.30%

0.10c

0.50c

$1.4K

$1.6K

Yes0.30c No99.7c

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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

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