Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

PoliticsOct 4, 2026

Group vol

$40.00

Liquidity

$152.7K

Outcomes

Loading CLOB probability history for this event group.

OutcomeProbabilityBidAskDepthVolTrade

Lula da Silva 5-10%

34%

33c

35c

$4.8K

$14.5K

Yes34c No66c

Order Book

Bid33c

Ask35c

Depth3,152

PriceSizeTotal

Mid34.0cSpread2c5.882%

Lula da Silva 10-15%

33.7%

33c

34.4c

$1.2K

$5.00

Yes33.7c No66.3c

Lula da Silva <5%

13.5%

12c

15c

$2.3K

$17.1K

Yes13.5c No86.5c

Lula da Silva 15%+

11.5%

10c

13c

$1.4K

$5.00

Yes11.5c No88.5c

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%

4.5%

3.30c

5.60c

$460

$8.1K

Yes4.45c No95.5c

Other

2.1%

1.30c

2.90c

$713

$5.00

Yes2.10c No97.8c

Renan Santos Victory

1.6%

1.00c

1.60c

$5.00

Yes1.60c No98.4c

Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%

0.50c

1.20c

$585

$5.00

Yes1.00c No99c

Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+

0.30c

1.70c

$5.00

Yes1.00c No99c

Ratinho Júnior Victory

0.55%

0.20c

0.90c

$5.00

Yes0.55c No99.4c

Tarcisio de Freitas Victory

0.40%

0.10c

0.70c

$5.00

Yes0.40c No99.6c

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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

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